Tip: Will the Golden Knights be able to halt the Oilers' dominant power play?

Oilers vs Golden Knights playoffs
Although there aren't many NHL games scheduled for Monday, there will be no shortage of star power on display. The Oilers and Golden Knights have an even number of wins, but after two games, one team has demonstrated a clear advantage over the other. This is reflected in the odds, as the Oilers are heavily favored to win at home on Monday night.

Current bets

2023-05-09 00:30
Vegas Golden Knights ML @ +160
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights


The focus of today's discussion is that if you try to mess around or test the Oilers, you will quickly learn the consequences, as the Golden Knights discovered the hard way by allowing three power-play goals out of six opportunities. These goals were scored by the Oilers' top players, including Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and Evan Bouchard, who leads all defensemen in points. To prevent Edmonton from gaining the upper hand, Vegas must avoid giving away penalties and instead focus on playing at even strength and asserting themselves like they did in Game 1. Despite having a perfect road record in the postseason, Vegas will need more than that to beat Edmonton.

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Success rate of 56 percent

Saturday's game showcased why the Oilers are such a formidable opponent. Although the Golden Knights may be more disciplined in Game 3, the Oilers remain a danger with their exceptional offensive capabilities, which make them a threat in any phase of the game. One more noteworthy statistic about the Oilers' power play, which has a success rate of 56 percent, is that it is the best among all teams' power plays in the first eight games of the postseason. With the next two games taking place in their home arena in Edmonton, the Oilers can seize control of the series if they maintain their level of effectiveness.

Special Teams (Playoffs):

  • Golden Knights Power Play: 21.7%, 9th

  • Golden Knights Penalty Kill: 52.4%, 15th

  • Oilers Power Play: 56%, 1st

  • Oilers Penalty Kill: 67.9%, 12th

Where do we draw the line?

The Golden Knights have, despite the setback in their last game, one of the better rosters in the league. They have a forward group with good depth across all lines, and a goaltending duo that is strong enough to match the Oilers' goaltenders. However, the team's biggest strength lies primarily in one of the league's best defensive lineups. Shea Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo constantly pose a threat from the blue line, and even though Jack Eichel and Mark Stone may not match up to McDavid and Draisaitl, they are still top-notch players. The key, of course, will be to avoid giving the Oilers a chance on the powerplay to minimize their incredibly impressive numbers. However, it should be noted that these numbers are not realistic to sustain over time. Edmonton is also a team that, in my opinion, is still unbalanced and vulnerable defensively, especially against a capable team like Vegas that can threaten from multiple positions.

The odds have been heavily influenced by home ice advantage and a strong performance in their last game, but for me, the choice is simple - the value lies with the Vegas Golden Knights. My bet is on the Vegas Golden Knights moneyline at +160 on Bet365.

My NHL betting stats - Since the start of the 2021/22 season up until now

  • Number of bets: 991
  • Results: +61,89u (flats)
  • ROI: +6,33%

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Current bets

2023-05-09 00:30
Vegas Golden Knights ML @ +160
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights


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